A Deeper Dive Into the Eurovision 2025 Jury Results: Agreeing to Disagree

While the 2026 Eurovision season is slowly beginning to pick up, let’s spend some time looking back at the year that was 2025 and do a deeper dive into some of the more unique, surprising, and hidden aspects of the 2025 jury results.

In this article, we’ll be looking at standard deviation within jury scores. Standard deviation is a measure of how spread out a set of values is relative to the mean (average) of a data set. In the world of Eurovision, higher standard deviation occurs when individual jurors within a single jury disagree significantly on how they rank a song.

To help you better understand this statistical concept, let’s imagine every country has 100 jurors. With 100 non-biased jurors, about 68 jurors will rank a song within one standard deviation of its average ranking. For example, let’s take Belgium’s jury votes for Italy this year. The average ranking of ‘Volevo essere un duro’ by Belgium’s jurors was 7th out of the 26 songs in the final. The Belgian jurors ranked Italy 13th, 10th, 2nd, 6th, and 4th which results in a standard deviation of 4.00 between their scores. If Belgium had a jury of 100 people, we would expect about 68 of these 100 Belgian jurors to rank Italy within 4 places of 7th. In other words, we’d expect about two-thirds of Belgian jurors to rank Italy between 3rd and 11th.

Now that we’ve gotten that quick statistics lesson out of the way, let’s dive into the findings!

What was each jury’s most and least agreed upon song?

As you go through the table below, you’ll notice that the most agreed upon songs typically end up near the top or bottom of a jury’s rankings. Perhaps Slovenia’s jury best represents this, having Italy (individually ranked 1st, 1st, 1st, 2nd, amd 4th) and San Marino (23rd, 24th, 25th, 26th, 26th) tied for their lowest standard deviation, but at opposite ends of the scoreboard.

However, this isn’t always the case, as we see with Latvia’s very consistent mid-rankings of Greece (13th, 14th, 14th, 17th, and 19th), who ended up being the Latvian jury’s most agreed upon entry. And even in the case of San Marino, who was the most agreed upon entry for 6 juries (Australia, Croatia, Czechia, Slovenia, Ukraine, and UK), we must note that ‘Tutta l’Italia’ was also the least agreed upon entry amongst 2 other juries (Malta and Poland).

Table 1: The Most and Least Agreed Upon ESC Songs by Jury

Jury	Most Agreed Upon Entry	Average (Mean) Ranking	Standard Deviation	Least Agreed Upon Entry	Average (Mean) Ranking	Standard Deviation
🇦🇱	🇪🇸	4.6	1.62	🇩🇪	14.6	8.09
🇦🇲	🇫🇷	1.0	0.00	🇨🇭	7.2	6.94
	🇫🇮	2.0	0.00	—————	—————	—————
🇦🇺	🇸🇲	24.8	1.60	🇮🇸	18.0	8.20
🇦🇹	🇫🇮	3.2	1.60	🇸🇪	12.0	8.07
🇦🇿	🇦🇲	26.0	0.00	🇸🇪	15.4	8.71
🇧🇪	🇪🇪	4.2	1.47	🇮🇱	18.2	7.00
🇭🇷	🇸🇲	25.6	0.49	🇱🇻	7.2	6.68
🇨🇾	🇬🇷	1.0	0.00	🇮🇱	10.2	8.06
🇨🇿	🇸🇲	25.8	0.40	🇳🇱	11.0	8.76
🇩🇰	🇵🇱	19.4	1.02	🇦🇲	15.6	8.33
🇪🇪	🇨🇭	3.3	1.79	🇱🇺	17.0	8.60
🇫🇮	🇦🇹	1.4	0.49	🇱🇹	16.2	7.08
🇫🇷	🇱🇺	12.6	1.74	🇫🇮	17.0	8.56
🇬🇪	🇮🇹	1.8	0.75	🇵🇹	13.8	8.33
🇩🇪	🇮🇸	23.6	1.36	🇵🇱	14.0	8.76
🇬🇷	🇦🇹	2.0	0.75	🇪🇪	15.0	8.02
🇮🇸	🇸🇪	1.6	0.49	🇬🇧	11.6	8.48
🇮🇪	🇦🇹	1.4	0.80	🇮🇱	10.4	9.13
🇮🇱	🇬🇷	1.8	0.75	🇦🇹	9.2	7.57
🇮🇹	🇬🇧	2.8	1.47	🇱🇹	15.8	8.89
🇱🇻	🇬🇷	15.4	2.24	🇪🇸	17.4	8.06
🇱🇹	🇲🇹	24.6	0.80	🇸🇪	15.2	8.11
🇱🇺	🇫🇮	24.2	1.17	🇪🇪	12.6	8.52
🇲🇹	🇦🇲	2.2	1.17	🇸🇲	14.0	7.16
	🇦🇹	4.8	1.17	—————	—————	—————
🇲🇪	🇬🇷	1.4	0.49	🇮🇱	16.0	9.78
🇳🇱	🇫🇮	23.2	1.72	🇮🇱	11.8	8.03
🇳🇴	🇩🇰	8.4	1.62	🇩🇪	15.8	8.52
🇵🇱	🇨🇭	2.4	2.33	🇸🇲	16.2	7.57
🇵🇹	🇮🇹	1.6	0.80	🇸🇪	13.8	7.44
🇸🇲	🇮🇹	1.0	0.00	🇲🇹	11.8	7.68
🇷🇸	🇫🇷	1.2	0.40	🇪🇸	14.4	5.92
🇸🇮	🇮🇹	1.8	1.17	🇫🇮	18.0	8.60
	🇸🇲	24.8	1.17	—————	—————	—————
🇪🇸	🇦🇹	5.8	2.79	🇺🇦	11.4	7.06
🇸🇪	🇨🇭	4.8	1.94	🇦🇱	13.2	8.89
🇨🇭	🇮🇹	2.8	1.94	🇸🇪	6.8	8.70
🇺🇦	🇸🇲	23.8	0.75	🇦🇱	18.0	7.69
🇬🇧	🇸🇲	23.6	1.50	🇱🇻	7.4	8.98

Inherently, the least agreed upon songs are more likely to be found in the middle of a jury’s rankings, and this makes logical sense too. Let’s look at Austria’s ranking of Sweden. Austria’s jurors ranked Sweden 1st, 8th, 10th, 16th, and 25th, meaning that one Austrian juror ranked Sweden first and another ranked Sweden last. The average of these first (1st) and last (25th) rankings would be 12.5, right in the middle. When we include the three other Austrian juror rankings of Sweden (8th, 10th, and 16th), we’re left with an average ranking of 12.0 and a standard deviation of 8.07, making ‘Bara Bada Bastu’ the least agreed upon song for Austria’s jury.

Given Sweden was a direct threat to Austria’s chances of winning Eurovision, the question of jury bias will naturally come into play particularly with some major examples of odds favourites blanking each other in recent years. 2nd place Israel’s jurors were also least on the same page about their biggest rival for the win, Austria (1st, 4th, 8th, 10th, and 23rd). Meanwhile Ireland, a nation that has been very vocally against Israel’s participation in the contest, had a major divide in their juror rankings of ‘New Day Will Rise’ (2nd, 3rd, 4th, 20th, and 23rd). A result like this only fuels the discussion on whether significant juror disagreements result from simple matters of taste or if external factors greatly influence juror rankings.

You’ll also notice some of the most agreed upon songs result from jury bias. We can see this with Azerbaijan’s juror rankings of Armenia (26th, 26th, 26th, 26th, and 26th), Cyprus’s juror rankings of Greece (1st, 1st, 1st, 1st, and 1st), and San Marino’s juror rankings of Italy (1st, 1st, 1st, 1st, and 1st). These cases are pretty self-explanatory for most Eurovision fans.

That being said, Italy was also the most agreed upon entry for four other countries’ juries, ranking highly with jurors from Georgia, Portugal, Slovenia, and Switzerland. In fact, the Italian peninsula (Italy and San Marino) represented the most agreed upon entry for 11 of the 37 juries… just at opposite ends of the scoreboard.

Israel and pre-contest favourite Sweden were the least agreed upon entry of 10 juries. Interestingly enough, these two entries were perhaps the two most talked about entries prior to the contest.

Which ESC 2025 entries were the most disagreed upon overall?

To close off this article, we’ll look at the Top 30 individual cases of disagreement within juries. These 30 cases represent the biggest sources of ranking disagreement within single juries at the ESC 2025 Final.

By taking a closer look at the individual juror rankings (on the right hand side of the table), you’ll find some very wild results including multiple cases where songs were ranked both first and last. You’ll find these cases bolded. Perhaps my favourite example is #3 on the list. UK Juror C ranked Latvia last (25th), but because of two 1st place rankings and two 5th place rankings, Latvia still received the UK’s coveted 12 points. Wild.

Table 2: The 30 Biggest Cases of Juror Disagreement Within a Single Jury at ESC 2025

Note: SD = Standard Deviation; Avg. = Average (Mean) Ranking Within Jury

Rank	Jury	Entry	SD	Avg.	Juror A	Juror B	Juror C	Juror D	Juror E
1	🇲🇪	🇮🇱	9.78	16.0	19	26	26	6	3
2	🇮🇪	🇮🇱	9.13	10.4	23	2	20	4	3
3	🇬🇧	🇱🇻	8.98	7.4	1	5	25	1	5
4	🇮🇹	🇱🇹	8.89	15.8	21	5	5	24	24
5	🇸🇪	🇦🇱	8.89	13.2	6	1	13	22	24
6	🇨🇿	🇳🇱	8.76	11.0	20	1	10	2	22
7	🇩🇪	🇵🇱	8.76	14.0	24	3	23	5	15
8	🇦🇿	🇸🇪	8.71	15.4	15	25	3	25	9
9	🇨🇭	🇸🇪	8.70	6.8	4	24	1	4	1
10	🇮🇪	🇪🇪	8.69	14.4	10	23	3	10	26
11	🇨🇭	🇦🇹	8.63	10.0	7	17	23	1	2
12	🇪🇪	🇱🇺	8.60	17.0	3	17	25	23	13
13	🇸🇮	🇫🇮	8.60	18.0	24	26	8	7	25
14	🇮🇹	🇫🇮	8.59	14.4	14	24	3	7	24
15	🇫🇷	🇫🇮	8.56	17.0	23	13	25	2	22
16	🇱🇺	🇪🇪	8.52	12.6	4	20	10	4	25
17	🇳🇴	🇩🇪	8.52	15.8	5	25	21	6	22
18	🇮🇸	🇬🇧	8.48	11.6	3	18	25	7	5
19	🇫🇷	🇵🇱	8.45	14.2	5	21	19	3	23
20	🇦🇿	🇵🇱	8.40	13.4	16	23	4	3	21
21	🇨🇿	🇳🇴	8.38	11.6	21	17	17	1	2
22	🇩🇰	🇦🇲	8.33	15.6	1	13	23	24	17
23	🇬🇪	🇵🇹	8.33	13.8	23	6	3	23	14
24	🇦🇿	🇬🇧	8.26	13.6	24	10	23	5	6
25	🇦🇺	🇮🇸	8.20	18.0	25	21	3	16	25
26	🇨🇿	🇩🇰	8.17	14.0	12	26	13	18	1
27	🇩🇪	🇱🇺	8.13	13.2	6	8	6	25	21
28	🇱🇹	🇸🇪	8.11	15.2	23	21	8	21	3
29	🇦🇱	🇩🇪	8.09	14.6	22	20	2	21	8
30	🇦🇹	🇸🇪	8.07	12.0	8	25	10	16	1

Let us know which jury agreements and disagreements you found most noteworthy in the comments and stay tuned for more Eurovision content here with our Eurovision Fam!